Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Gündüz vs Xhelal Lleshi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ali Gündüz
de

Ali Gündüz

“The Gorilla”

7-1-0BantamweightOKMMA

1628Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record6-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight130 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1576 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali GündüzNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Xhelal LleshiNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ali GündüzXhelal Lleshi
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Xhelal Lleshi66%
Ali Gündüz 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Xhelal Lleshi a 66% favorite over Ali Gündüz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Gündüz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1628), separated by just 0 points.

Xhelal Lleshi enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ali Gündüz finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Xhelal Lleshi 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.