Ali Hodeib vs Luka Vrtačić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'4"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1604 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamTrojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Luka Vrtačić is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Ali Hodeib carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1547
If they lose-21→ 1499
If they win+21→ 1583
If they lose-27→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali HodeibLuka Vrtačić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luka Vrtačić74%
Ali Hodeib 26%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Luka Vrtačić a 74% favorite over Ali Hodeib in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Luka Vrtačić holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1520, a 42-point edge.
Luka Vrtačić enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.