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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Hodeib vs Saparbeg Safarov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ali Hodeib
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Ali Hodeib

“The Gentleman”

2-1-0MiddleweightBCF

1520Average

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record0-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionTBD
6'4"HeightTBD
-Reach41.50
185 lbsWeightTBD
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1609 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali HodeibNow 1520
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
Saparbeg SafarovNow 1519
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1491 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.03
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.52
Not available
Takedown accuracy
42%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ali HodeibSaparbeg Safarov
1500155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Saparbeg Safarov57%
Ali Hodeib 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Saparbeg Safarov a 57% favorite over Ali Hodeib in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Hodeib's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1519), separated by just 1 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.