Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Taleb vs Long Xiao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record27-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali TalebNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Long XiaoNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.06
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.74
Not available
Takedown accuracy
11%
Not available
Takedown defense
82%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ali TalebLong Xiao
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
3 (25%)
Submission
9 (33%)
2 (17%)
Decision
13 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Long Xiao63%
Ali Taleb 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 63% favorite over Ali Taleb in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Taleb's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Ali Taleb enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ali Taleb finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.