Combat Edge Intelligence

Aliaskhab Khizriev vs Denis Tiuliulin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record10-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
74"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team ShikhshabekovTeamEvolve Gym

What's at stake

Aliaskhab Khizriev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Denis Tiuliulin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aliaskhab KhizrievNow 1723
If they win+8→ 1731
If they lose-24→ 1699
Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-8→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.61
64%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
62%
Strike defense
38%
5.64
Takedown avg.
0.96
60%
Takedown accuracy
43%
100%
Takedown defense
72%
3.76
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aliaskhab KhizrievDenis Tiuliulin
15501600165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
4 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Aliaskhab Khizriev92%
Denis Tiuliulin 8%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Aliaskhab Khizriev a 92% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Aliaskhab Khizriev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1537, a 186-point edge.

Aliaskhab Khizriev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aliaskhab Khizriev finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Denis Tiuliulin 90%.

Denis Tiuliulin carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.