Combat Edge Intelligence

Alibek Gadzhammatov vs Fredy Serrano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'2"
-Reach65,0"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
KHK MMA DagestanTeamMMA Colombia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alibek GadzhammatovNow 1584
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Fredy SerranoNow 1581
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.58
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.89
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.84
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
85%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alibek GadzhammatovFredy Serrano
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
1 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Alibek Gadzhammatov70%
Fredy Serrano 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alibek Gadzhammatov a 70% favorite over Fredy Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1581), separated by just 3 points.

Alibek Gadzhammatov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alibek Gadzhammatov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Fredy Serrano 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.