Combat Edge Intelligence

Alibek Gadzhammatov vs Josh Ferguson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record11-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
KHK MMA DagestanTeamAll American MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alibek GadzhammatovNow 1584
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Josh FergusonNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.18
TBD
Strike defense
32%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.59
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alibek GadzhammatovJosh Ferguson
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
1 (17%)
Submission
10 (91%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alibek Gadzhammatov60%
Josh Ferguson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alibek Gadzhammatov a 60% favorite over Josh Ferguson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1584), separated by just 0 points.

Alibek Gadzhammatov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Ferguson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alibek Gadzhammatov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Ferguson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.