Combat Edge Intelligence

Alibi Idiris vs John Moraga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record19-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Erkin Kush· 1702 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alibi IdirisNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
John MoragaNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
54%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.62
0%
Takedown accuracy
23%
60%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Alibi IdirisJohn Moraga
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
2 (18%)
Submission
8 (42%)
5 (45%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Alibi Idiris70%
John Moraga 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alibi Idiris a 70% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Moraga's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1700), separated by just 1 points.

Alibi Idiris finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, John Moraga 58%.

Alibi Idiris carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.