Combat Edge Intelligence

Alibi Idiris vs Joseph Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record14-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Erkin Kush· 1702 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 22 rated

What's at stake

Joseph Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alibi Idiris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alibi IdirisNow 1699
If they win+17→ 1716
If they lose-15→ 1684
Joseph MoralesNow 1714
If they win+15→ 1729
If they lose-17→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
2
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
54%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
1.14
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
3.04

Trajectory

Alibi IdirisJoseph Morales
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
2 (18%)
Submission
8 (57%)
5 (45%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alibi Idiris and Joseph Morales within a point of even.

Joseph Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1699, a 15-point edge.

Joseph Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alibi Idiris finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.