Combat Edge Intelligence

Alibi Idiris vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Erkin KushTeamASM BJJ Association

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alibi IdirisNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Nyamjargal TumendemberelNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
50%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
54%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
3.10
0%
Takedown accuracy
39%
60%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
2.65

Trajectory

Alibi IdirisNyamjargal Tumendemberel
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (18%)
Submission
6 (60%)
5 (45%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel53%
Alibi Idiris 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nyamjargal Tumendemberel a 53% favorite over Alibi Idiris in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alibi Idiris's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1692), separated by just 3 points.

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alibi Idiris finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 80%.

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.