Combat Edge Intelligence

Alice Ardelean vs Ericka Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
62" Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fearless MMATeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alice ArdeleanNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Ericka AlmeidaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.35
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
62%
Strike defense
44%
1
Takedown avg.
0.50
44%
Takedown accuracy
33%
86%
Takedown defense
38%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alice ArdeleanEricka Almeida
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
5 (42%)
Submission
6 (75%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alice Ardelean66%
Ericka Almeida 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alice Ardelean a 66% favorite over Ericka Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1588), separated by just 3 points.

Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ericka Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ericka Almeida 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.