Alice Ardelean vs Kay Hansen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record8-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
62" Reach63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fearless MMA· 1550 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu Buena Park
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alice ArdeleanKay Hansen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kay Hansen60%
Alice Ardelean 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kay Hansen a 60% favorite over Alice Ardelean in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alice Ardelean's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1582), separated by just 9 points.
Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kay Hansen 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.