Alice Ardelean vs Maria Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record13-7-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
62" Reach69"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fearless MMATeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alice ArdeleanMaria Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alice Ardelean and Maria Oliveira within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1588), separated by just 3 points.
Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Maria Oliveira 62%.
Maria Oliveira carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.