Combat Edge Intelligence

Alice Ardelean vs Melissa Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
62" Reach 66"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fearless MMATeamBonebreakers Team

What's at stake

Melissa Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alice Ardelean carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alice ArdeleanNow 1591
If they win+17→ 1608
If they lose-15→ 1576
Melissa MartinezNow 1610
If they win+15→ 1625
If they lose-17→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.90
46%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
62%
Strike defense
56%
1
Takedown avg.
0.50
44%
Takedown accuracy
50%
86%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alice ArdeleanMelissa Martinez
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
5 (42%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alice Ardelean and Melissa Martinez within a point of even.

Melissa Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1610 to 1591, a 19-point edge.

Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Martinez 63%.

Melissa Martinez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.