Combat Edge Intelligence

Alice Ardelean vs Molly McCann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
62" Reach62"
125 lbsWeight116 lbs
Fearless MMATeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alice ArdeleanNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Molly McCannNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.35
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
62%
Strike defense
63%
1
Takedown avg.
1.84
44%
Takedown accuracy
37%
86%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Alice ArdeleanMolly McCann
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
5 (42%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (25%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alice Ardelean60%
Molly McCann 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alice Ardelean a 60% favorite over Molly McCann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Molly McCann's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1596), separated by just 5 points.

Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Molly McCann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Molly McCann 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.