Combat Edge Intelligence

Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record10-5-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'0"
62" Reach61"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fearless MMATeamKings MMA

What's at stake

Alice Ardelean is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Montserrat Conejo Ruiz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alice ArdeleanNow 1591
If they win+14→ 1605
If they lose-18→ 1573
Montserrat Conejo RuizNow 1548
If they win+18→ 1566
If they lose-14→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.35
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
46%
Strike accuracy
27%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
62%
Strike defense
38%
1
Takedown avg.
2.05
44%
Takedown accuracy
83%
86%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Alice ArdeleanMontserrat Conejo Ruiz
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
5 (42%)
Submission
2 (20%)
3 (25%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alice Ardelean60%
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Alice Ardelean a 60% favorite over Montserrat Conejo Ruiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Alice Ardelean holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1591 to 1548, a 43-point edge.

Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Montserrat Conejo Ruiz 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.