Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record13-9-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'7"
62" Reach67"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fearless MMATeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Alice Ardelean is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Polyana Viana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1605
If they lose-18→ 1573
If they win+18→ 1559
If they lose-14→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alice ArdeleanPolyana Viana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alice Ardelean57%
Polyana Viana 43%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Alice Ardelean a 57% favorite over Polyana Viana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Alice Ardelean holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1591 to 1541, a 50-point edge.
Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Polyana Viana 100%.
Polyana Viana carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.