Alice Michalkiewicz vs Charlene Gellner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-6-0Record1-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
TBDHeight5'2"
TBDReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Alice Michalkiewicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Charlene Gellner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1457
If they lose-17→ 1425
If they win+26→ 1445
If they lose-22→ 1397
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alice MichalkiewiczCharlene Gellner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alice Michalkiewicz52%
Charlene Gellner 48%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Alice Michalkiewicz a 52% favorite over Charlene Gellner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Alice Michalkiewicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1442 to 1419, a 23-point edge.
Alice Michalkiewicz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alice Michalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.