Alice Michalkiewicz vs Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-6-0Record6-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReach64.00
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Urban Sport Center MentonTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Alice Michalkiewicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1457
If they lose-17→ 1425
If they win+25→ 1451
If they lose-23→ 1403
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alice MichalkiewiczJocelyn Jones-Lybarger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alice Michalkiewicz59%
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger 41%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Alice Michalkiewicz a 59% favorite over Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Alice Michalkiewicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1442 to 1426, a 16-point edge.
Alice Michalkiewicz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alice Michalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger 17%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.