Combat Edge Intelligence

Alice Pereira vs Melissa Croden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
LifeTeamRaven House MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alice PereiraNow 1617
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593
Melissa CrodenNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
32%
Strike accuracy
49%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
73%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
1.02
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alice PereiraMelissa Croden
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (13%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Alice Pereira53%
Melissa Croden 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alice Pereira a 53% favorite over Melissa Croden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melissa Croden's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1623), separated by just 6 points.

Alice Pereira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Croden 88%.

Alice Pereira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.