Combat Edge Intelligence

Alice Pereira vs Sara McMann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'5"
71"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
LifeTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alice PereiraNow 1617
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593
Sara McMannNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
32%
Strike accuracy
46%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.92
73%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
4.38
0%
Takedown accuracy
65%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Alice PereiraSara McMann
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
1 (14%)
Submission
5 (36%)
1 (14%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Alice Pereira70%
Sara McMann 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alice Pereira a 70% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sara McMann's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.

Alice Pereira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.

Alice Pereira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.