Aliev Makhmud vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
191 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1509
If they lose-25→ 1461
If they win+25→ 1503
If they lose-23→ 1455
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1649 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw70%
Aliev Makhmud 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 70% favorite over Aliev Makhmud in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aliev Makhmud's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1486 vs 1478), separated by just 8 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.