Alik Lorenz vs Jacob Noe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA LabTeamMemphis Judo & Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alik LorenzJacob Noe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alik Lorenz55%
Jacob Noe 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alik Lorenz a 55% favorite over Jacob Noe in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jacob Noe's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.
Alik Lorenz enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Noe 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.