Combat Edge Intelligence

Alik Lorenz vs Leonardo Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77.5"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
MMA LabTeamChina Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alik LorenzNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Leonardo SilvaNow 1607
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.54
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
24.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alik LorenzLeonardo Silva
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
1 (14%)
Submission
4 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Alik Lorenz60%
Leonardo Silva 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alik Lorenz a 60% favorite over Leonardo Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Silva 73%.

Alik Lorenz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.