AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Alik Lorenz vs Ricardo Romero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA LabTeamAMA Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alik LorenzNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Ricardo RomeroNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
Not available
Strike accuracy
56%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.77
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.63
Not available
Takedown accuracy
10%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
3.26

Trajectory

Alik LorenzRicardo Romero
16001650170020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (13%)
Submission
6 (55%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Alik Lorenz55%
Ricardo Romero 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alik Lorenz a 55% favorite over Ricardo Romero in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Romero's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1642), separated by just 4 points.

Alik Lorenz enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ricardo Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Romero 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.