Alikhan Musaev vs Jay Jay Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-0-0Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach74"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1682 avg Elo · 30 ratedTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alikhan MusaevJay Jay Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jay Jay Wilson64%
Alikhan Musaev 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jay Jay Wilson a 64% favorite over Alikhan Musaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1705), separated by just 1 points.
Alikhan Musaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alikhan Musaev finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jay Jay Wilson 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.