Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Suleymanov vs Aristides Vinícius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record12-3-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72.8"Reach68"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamCT Carrasco Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan SuleymanovNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Aristides ViníciusNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alikhan SuleymanovAristides Vinícius
165020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
11 (61%)
Submission
8 (67%)
5 (28%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alikhan Suleymanov and Aristides Vinícius within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1668), separated by just 2 points.

Aristides Vinícius enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alikhan Suleymanov finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Aristides Vinícius 92%.

Alikhan Suleymanov carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.