Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Suleymanov vs Mike Thomas Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record26-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
72.8"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan SuleymanovNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Mike Thomas BrownNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.45
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Alikhan SuleymanovMike Thomas Brown
16502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
11 (61%)
Submission
13 (50%)
5 (28%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Suleymanov84%
Mike Thomas Brown 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Suleymanov a 84% favorite over Mike Thomas Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Thomas Brown's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Mike Thomas Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alikhan Suleymanov finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Mike Thomas Brown 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.