Alikhan Vakhaev vs Cain Velasquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-0Record14-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'1"
-Reach77"
265 lbsWeight241 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alikhan VakhaevCain Velasquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alikhan Vakhaev88%
Cain Velasquez 12%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 88% favorite over Cain Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1737), separated by just 1 points.
Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Cain Velasquez 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.