Alikhan Vakhaev vs Derrick Lewis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-0Record29-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
-Reach79"
265 lbsWeight264 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamMain Street Boxing & Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alikhan VakhaevDerrick Lewis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alikhan Vakhaev76%
Derrick Lewis 24%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 76% favorite over Derrick Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derrick Lewis's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1745), separated by just 7 points.
Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Derrick Lewis 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.