Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Maxim Grishin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record33-10-2
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· avg 1683 EloTeamFight Club Akhmat· avg 1683 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Maxim GrishinNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevMaxim Grishin
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
16 (48%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (18%)
7 (47%)
Decision
11 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Vakhaev66%
Maxim Grishin 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 66% favorite over Maxim Grishin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1710), separated by just 4 points.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Maxim Grishin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Maxim Grishin 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.