Alikhan Vakhaev vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record24-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'5"
-Reach79"
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· avg 1683 EloTeamFortis MMA· avg 1679 Elo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alikhan VakhaevRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alikhan Vakhaev60%
Ryan Spann 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 60% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1710), separated by just 4 points.
Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.