Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Sergey Bilostenniy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'1"
-Reach75"
265 lbsWeight262 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· avg 1683 EloTeamRaty Team· avg 1674 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Sergey BilostenniyNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevSergey Bilostenniy
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (7%)
7 (47%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Bilostenniy62%
Alikhan Vakhaev 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 62% favorite over Alikhan Vakhaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1716), separated by just 2 points.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.

Alikhan Vakhaev and Sergey Bilostenniy share 1 common opponent: Roggers Souza.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (Punches) · 2021
Roggers Souza
WinKO (Punches) · 2021