Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Soa Palelei

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Soa Palelei
au

Soa Palelei

“The Hulk”

22-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1736Good

Tale of the tape

16-3-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Soa PaleleiNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevSoa Palelei
1700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
19 (86%)
1 (6%)
Submission
3 (14%)
7 (44%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Vakhaev88%
Soa Palelei 12%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 88% favorite over Soa Palelei in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1736), separated by just 2 points.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.