Combat Edge Intelligence

Aline Pereira vs Bec Rawlings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record8-9-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach64,0"
124 lbsWeight116 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

Aline Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Bec Rawlings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aline PereiraNow 1522
If they win+23→ 1545
If they lose-25→ 1497
Bec RawlingsNow 1503
If they win+17→ 1520
If they lose-15→ 1488

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.66
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.71
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
68%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Aline PereiraBec Rawlings
1500201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (50%)
3 (100%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Aline Pereira62%
Bec Rawlings 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Aline Pereira a 62% favorite over Bec Rawlings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Aline Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1503, a 19-point edge.

Aline Pereira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aline Pereira finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Bec Rawlings 63%.

Aline Pereira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.