Combat Edge Intelligence

Aline Pereira vs Lauren Mueller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record5-4-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"Reach38,0"
124 lbsWeight136 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aline PereiraNow 1522
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498
Lauren MuellerNow 1521
If they win+24→ 1545
If they lose-24→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aline PereiraLauren Mueller
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (100%)
Decision
4 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Aline Pereira60%
Lauren Mueller 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aline Pereira a 60% favorite over Lauren Mueller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1521), separated by just 1 points.

Aline Pereira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lauren Mueller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aline Pereira finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Mueller 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.