Aline Pereira vs Lauren Mueller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record5-4-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"Reach38,0"
124 lbsWeight136 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498
If they win+24→ 1545
If they lose-24→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aline PereiraLauren Mueller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lauren Mueller52%
Aline Pereira 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lauren Mueller a 52% favorite over Aline Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aline Pereira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1521), separated by just 1 points.
Aline Pereira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lauren Mueller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Aline Pereira finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Mueller 20%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.