Aline Pereira vs Rachael Ostovich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record4-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'3"
70"Reach38,5"
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamJesus Is Lord
What's at stake
Aline Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Rachael Ostovich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1541
If they lose-29→ 1493
If they win+19→ 1475
If they lose-13→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aline PereiraRachael Ostovich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aline Pereira72%
Rachael Ostovich 28%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Aline Pereira a 72% favorite over Rachael Ostovich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Aline Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1456, a 66-point edge.
Aline Pereira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rachael Ostovich enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aline Pereira finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Rachael Ostovich 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.