Alison Canot vs Giovanni Fernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record3-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
What's at stake
Alison Canot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1468
If they lose-25→ 1420
If they win+25→ 1451
If they lose-23→ 1403
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alison CanotGiovanni Fernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giovanni Fernandez51%
Alison Canot 49%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Giovanni Fernandez a 51% favorite over Alison Canot in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alison Canot's way (47%).
Alison Canot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1445 to 1426, a 19-point edge.
Alison Canot enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Giovanni Fernandez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.