Alistair Overeem vs Antonio Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
47-19-0Record19-15-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReach80,0"
256 lbsWeight264 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Alistair Overeem is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Antonio Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1767
If they lose-17→ 1743
If they win+17→ 1613
If they lose-7→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alistair OvereemAntonio Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alistair Overeem83%
Antonio Silva 17%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Alistair Overeem a 83% favorite over Antonio Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Alistair Overeem holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1596, a 164-point edge.
Antonio Silva enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Antonio Silva 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.