Alistair Overeem vs Curtis Blaydes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
47-19-0Record19-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReach80"
256 lbsWeight256 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
If they win+12→ 1780
If they lose-12→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alistair OvereemCurtis Blaydes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes70%
Alistair Overeem 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 70% favorite over Alistair Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1768), separated by just 8 points.
Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Blaydes 68%.
Alistair Overeem and Curtis Blaydes share 2 common opponents: Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Sergei Pavlovich.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.