Alistair Overeem vs Jailton Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
47-19-0Record22-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
256 lbsWeight241 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamGalpao da Luta· 1684 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alistair OvereemJailton Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida60%
Alistair Overeem 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 60% favorite over Alistair Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alistair Overeem's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1755), separated by just 5 points.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.
Alistair Overeem and Jailton Almeida share 3 common opponents: Alexander Volkov, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Curtis Blaydes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.