Alistair Overeem vs Mario Pinto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
47-19-0Record13-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
TBDReach79"
256 lbsWeight265 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamUrban Warriors
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
If they win+16→ 1775
If they lose-16→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alistair OvereemMario Pinto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Pinto61%
Alistair Overeem 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 61% favorite over Alistair Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alistair Overeem's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1759), separated by just 1 points.
Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.