Alistair Overeem vs Mark Hunt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
47-19-0Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
256 lbsWeight265 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Alistair Overeem is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1744
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-8→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alistair OvereemMark Hunt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alistair Overeem83%
Mark Hunt 17%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Alistair Overeem a 83% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Alistair Overeem holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1625, a 135-point edge.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.
Alistair Overeem and Mark Hunt share 3 common opponents: Aleksei Oleinik, Curtis Blaydes and Fabrício Werdum.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.