Alistair Overeem vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
47-19-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height7'0"
TBDReach84,5"
256 lbsWeight265 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
Alistair Overeem is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Stefan Struve carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1769
If they lose-15→ 1745
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-9→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alistair OvereemStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alistair Overeem53%
Stefan Struve 47%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Alistair Overeem a 53% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Alistair Overeem holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1663, a 97-point edge.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Alistair Overeem and Stefan Struve share 1 common opponent: Alexander Volkov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.