Combat Edge Intelligence

Alistair Overeem vs Travis Browne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

47-19-0Record18-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'7"
TBDReach79,0"
256 lbsWeight244 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

Alistair Overeem is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Travis Browne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alistair OvereemNow 1760
If they win+10→ 1770
If they lose-14→ 1746
Travis BrowneNow 1696
If they win+14→ 1710
If they lose-10→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
64%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
57%
Strike defense
43%
1.42
Takedown avg.
1.21
56%
Takedown accuracy
69%
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Alistair OvereemTravis Browne
170017502015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

25 (53%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
17 (36%)
Submission
2 (11%)
5 (11%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Alistair Overeem58%
Travis Browne 42%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Alistair Overeem a 58% favorite over Travis Browne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Alistair Overeem holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1696, a 64-point edge.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Travis Browne 89%.

Alistair Overeem and Travis Browne share 2 common opponents: Aleksei Oleinik and Fabrício Werdum.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

Winko/tko · 2019
Aleksei Oleinik
LossSUB · 2017
WinDEC · 2017
Fabrício Werdum
LossDEC · 2016
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2014