Combat Edge Intelligence

Alistair Overeem vs Valter Walker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Valter Walker
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Valter Walker

“The Clean Monster”

16-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1755Great

Tale of the tape

47-19-0Record16-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'6"
TBDReach 78"
256 lbsWeight264 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alistair OvereemNow 1760
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
Valter WalkerNow 1755
If they win+16→ 1771
If they lose-16→ 1739

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
2
64%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
57%
Strike defense
43%
1.42
Takedown avg.
5.74
56%
Takedown accuracy
69%
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.83
Submission avg.
2.55

Trajectory

Alistair OvereemValter Walker
1700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

25 (53%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
17 (36%)
Submission
6 (38%)
5 (11%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Valter Walker73%
Alistair Overeem 27%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Valter Walker a 73% favorite over Alistair Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alistair Overeem's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1755), separated by just 5 points.

Valter Walker enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Valter Walker 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.