Alivia Bierley vs Julianna Peña
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach69"
137 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamSikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alivia BierleyJulianna Peña
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alivia Bierley58%
Julianna Peña 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alivia Bierley a 58% favorite over Julianna Peña in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julianna Peña's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1633), separated by just 5 points.
Alivia Bierley enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Alivia Bierley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Julianna Peña 67%.
Julianna Peña carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.