Alivia Bierley vs Miesha Tate
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Miesha Tate57%
Alivia Bierley 43%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Miesha Tate a 57% favorite over Alivia Bierley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1640), separated by just 11 points.
Alivia Bierley enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Alivia Bierley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Miesha Tate 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record20-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach65"
137 lbsWeight136 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1654
If they lose-23→ 1606
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alivia BierleyMiesha Tate