Aljamain Sterling vs Augusto Mendes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record6-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"Reach36,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSoul Fighters BJJ
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Augusto Mendes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1860
If they lose-20→ 1836
If they win+40→ 1604
If they lose-8→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1781 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingAugusto Mendes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aljamain Sterling90%
Augusto Mendes 10%Elo baseline: 84%
The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 90% favorite over Augusto Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1564, a 292-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Augusto Mendes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Augusto Mendes 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.