Aljamain Sterling vs Brett Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach39.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamChris Rees Academy
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Brett Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1860
If they lose-19→ 1836
If they win+25→ 1653
If they lose-7→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingBrett Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aljamain Sterling78%
Brett Johns 22%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 78% favorite over Brett Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1628, a 227-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brett Johns enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Brett Johns 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.